Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Washington Commanders 4th & 5 at the 93

Washington Commanders 6 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

(13:19) 5-T.Way punts 63 yards to PHI 30, Center-57-N.Sundberg, downed by WAS-19-R.Ross.

The Three Options

GO -2.73 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 88, worth +0.45 EP
54% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 93, worth -5.43 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (110 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model