Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New Orleans Saints 4th & 9 at the 55

New Orleans Saints 10 – Philadelphia Eagles 26

(14:15) 4-B.Fields punts 36 yards to PHI 19, Center-47-J.Drescher, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.12 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 46, worth +2.50 EP
66% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 55, worth -2.97 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model