Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 6 at the 79

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Arizona Cardinals 7

(5:27) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 45 yards to ARI 34, Center-60-G.Warren. 21-P.Peterson pushed ob at ARI 40 for 6 yards (45-R.Nix).

The Three Options

GO -1.69 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 73, worth +1.60 EP
56% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 79, worth -4.22 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model