Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 92

Seattle Seahawks 10 – Carolina Panthers 7

(2:49) 9-J.Ryan punts 51 yards to CAR 41, Center-49-C.Gresham, fair catch by 19-T.Ginn.

The Three Options

GO -2.88 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 84, worth +0.75 EP
61% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 92, worth -5.16 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (109 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model