Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 10 at the 59

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Carolina Panthers 0

(9:09) 9-J.Ryan punts 42 yards to CAR 17, Center-49-C.Gresham, fair catch by 19-T.Ginn.

The Three Options

GO -1.01 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +3.08 EP
69% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 59, worth -2.88 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (76 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model