Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New Orleans Saints 4th & 13 at the 67

New Orleans Saints 14 – Carolina Panthers 7

(11:29) 6-T.Morstead punts 27 yards to CAR 40, Center-47-J.Drescher, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.06 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.55 EP
72% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 67, worth -3.87 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model