Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 55

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Denver Broncos 7

(8:29) 5-M.Scifres punts 41 yards to DEN 14, Center-47-M.Windt, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.42 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +3.08 EP
60% chance to fail: Denver Broncos takes over around their own 55, worth -2.72 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model