Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 10 at the 70

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Seattle Seahawks 21

(:07) (Punt formation) 18-J.Locke punts 22 yards to SEA 48, Center-47-K.McDermott, out of bounds. Kick Blocked by 58

The Three Options

GO -1.48 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +0.24 EP
66% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 70, worth -2.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model