Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 5 at the 62

Dallas Cowboys 0 – Green Bay Packers 7

(7:00) 6-C.Jones punts 43 yards to GB 19, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.23 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +2.05 EP
58% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 62, worth -3.60 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model