Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 6 at the 70

Las Vegas Raiders 0 – Denver Broncos 6

(1:10) 7-M.King punts 45 yards to DEN 25, Center-59-J.Condo, fair catch by 10-E.Sanders.

The Three Options

GO -1.75 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 64, worth +1.62 EP
59% chance to fail: Denver Broncos takes over around their own 70, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model