Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 14 at the 56

Seattle Seahawks 36 – Arizona Cardinals 6

(:20) 9-J.Ryan punts 46 yards to ARI 10, Center-49-C.Gresham, fair catch by 14-J.Nelson.

The Three Options

GO -1.39 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 42, worth +2.69 EP
71% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 56, worth -3.05 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model