Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 5 at the 72

Philadelphia Eagles 10 – Cleveland Browns 7

(7:43) 8-D.Jones punts 72 yards to end zone, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.45 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.81 EP
55% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 72, worth -4.16 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model