Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 7 at the 75

Cincinnati Bengals 9 – Pittsburgh Steelers 17

(13:49) (Punt formation) 10-K.Huber punts 43 yards to PIT 32, Center-46-C.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.15 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.26 EP
61% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 75, worth -4.37 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model