Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 60

Dallas Cowboys 10 – Washington Commanders 7

(10:52) 6-C.Jones punts 56 yards to WAS 4, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 80-J.Crowder to WAS 25 for 21 yards (41-K.Smith).

The Three Options

GO -1.49 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.72 EP
69% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 60, worth -3.38 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model