Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 7 at the 67

Seattle Seahawks 3 – Los Angeles Rams 3

(10:34) 9-J.Ryan punts 44 yards to LA 23, Center-48-N.Frese. 11-T.Austin to LA 38 for 15 yards (40-T.Powell).

The Three Options

GO -1.53 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.94 EP
59% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 67, worth -3.92 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model