Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 14 at the 79

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Los Angeles Rams 3

(9:00) 9-J.Ryan punts 40 yards to LA 39, Center-48-N.Frese, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.90 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.23 EP
69% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 79, worth -4.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model