Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 9 at the 74

Arizona Cardinals 0 – Los Angeles Rams 0

(13:32) 9-R.Quigley punts 37 yards to LA 37, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 11-T.Austin.

The Three Options

GO -1.88 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.29 EP
65% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 74, worth -4.17 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model