Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Houston Texans 4th & 6 at the 65

Houston Texans 6 – Minnesota Vikings 24

(13:54) 9-S.Lechler punts 53 yards to MIN 12, Center-46-J.Weeks. 35-M.Sherels pushed ob at MIN 21 for 9 yards (36-K.Dillon).

The Three Options

GO -1.63 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +2.11 EP
63% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 65, worth -3.86 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model