Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 62

Dallas Cowboys 10 – Green Bay Packers 6

(1:51) 6-C.Jones punts 41 yards to GB 21, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 11-T.Davis to GB 46 for 25 yards (41-K.Smith).

The Three Options

GO -0.80 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.26 EP
66% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 62, worth -2.37 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model