Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 16 at the 57

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Arizona Cardinals 3

(10:21) 9-J.Ryan punts 33 yards to ARI 24, Center-48-N.Frese, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.52 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 41, worth +3.11 EP
74% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 57, worth -3.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (74 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model