Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 8 at the 95

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Carolina Panthers 0

(9:03) 6-J.Hekker punts 48 yards to CAR 47, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-46-C.Harkey.

The Three Options

GO -3.33 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 87, worth +0.54 EP
62% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 95, worth -5.75 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (112 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model