Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 5 at the 74

New York Giants 21 – Philadelphia Eagles 10

(5:42) 9-B.Wing punts 55 yards to PHI 19, Center-51-Z.DeOssie. 43-D.Sproles pushed ob at NYG 15 for 66 yards (57-K.Robinson).

The Three Options

GO -1.63 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.55 EP
56% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 74, worth -4.08 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model