Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New York Jets 4th & 8 at the 83

New York Jets 6 – Los Angeles Rams 6

(11:03) 4-L.Edwards punts 35 yards to LA 48, Center-46-T.Purdum, fair catch by 10-P.Cooper.

The Three Options

GO -2.52 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 75, worth +1.09 EP
61% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 83, worth -4.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (100 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model