Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New York Giants 4th & 6 at the 63

New York Giants 10 – Dallas Cowboys 7

(2:46) 9-B.Wing punts 39 yards to DAL 24, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, fair catch by 11-C.Beasley.

The Three Options

GO -1.02 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.27 EP
59% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 63, worth -2.59 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model