Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 San Francisco 49ers 4th & 7 at the 83

San Francisco 49ers 7 – Los Angeles Rams 14

(7:58) 5-B.Pinion punts 47 yards to LA 36, Center-86-K.Nelson. 11-T.Austin to LA 34 for -2 yards (40-V.Sunseri; 57-M.Wilhoite).

The Three Options

GO -2.58 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 76, worth +0.98 EP
60% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 83, worth -4.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (100 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model