Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 2 at the 61

Los Angeles Rams 14 – San Francisco 49ers 7

(:45) 6-J.Hekker punts 49 yards to SF 12, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 17-J.Kerley.

The Three Options

GO -0.46 EP

56% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.45 EP
44% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 61, worth -2.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (78 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model