Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 4 at the 54

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Arizona Cardinals 3

(5:54) 6-J.Hekker punts 37 yards to ARI 17, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 21-P.Peterson.

The Three Options

GO -0.23 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.99 EP
57% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 54, worth -2.62 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (71 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model