Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 11 at the 60

Seattle Seahawks 14 – Tennessee Titans 23

(1:59) (Punt formation) 9-J.Ryan punts 43 yards to TEN 17, Center-69-T.Ott. 25-A.Jackson pushed ob at TEN 25 for 8 yards (82-L.Willson).

The Three Options

GO -1.47 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +2.70 EP
69% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 60, worth -3.33 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model