Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Tennessee Titans 4th & 12 at the 74

Tennessee Titans 33 – Seattle Seahawks 20

(5:20) (Punt formation) 6-B.Kern punts 55 yards to SEA 19, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 16-T.Lockett to SEA 28 for 9 yards (41-B.Trawick).

The Three Options

GO -2.29 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.61 EP
69% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 74, worth -4.07 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model