Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tennessee Titans 4th & 10 at the 84

Tennessee Titans 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(9:27) (Punt formation) 6-B.Kern punts 49 yards to SEA 35, Center-48-B.Brinkley, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.55 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 74, worth +1.38 EP
65% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 84, worth -4.70 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model