Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 17 at the 71

Las Vegas Raiders 7 – Los Angeles Chargers 0

(8:41) 7-M.King punts 59 yards to LAC 12, Center-59-J.Condo. 12-T.Benjamin to LAC 18 for 6 yards (16-J.Holton).

The Three Options

GO -2.41 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.64 EP
75% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 71, worth -4.07 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model