Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 10 at the 75

Cincinnati Bengals 14 – Pittsburgh Steelers 17

(1:35) (Punt formation) 10-K.Huber punts 52 yards to PIT 23, Center-46-C.Harris, fair catch by 84-A.Brown.

The Three Options

GO -2.24 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.62 EP
67% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 75, worth -4.11 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model