Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New York Giants 4th & 6 at the 71

New York Giants 17 – Los Angeles Rams 51

(2:18) 9-B.Wing punts 50 yards to LA 21, Center-51-Z.DeOssie. 10-P.Cooper pushed ob at LA 36 for 15 yards (29-N.Berhe).

The Three Options

GO -1.56 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.25 EP
61% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 71, worth -3.36 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model