Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Washington Commanders 4th & 9 at the 56

Washington Commanders 0 – Seattle Seahawks 2

(14:50) 5-T.Way punts 27 yards to SEA 29, Center-57-N.Sundberg, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.21 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 47, worth +2.73 EP
67% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 56, worth -3.16 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model