Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 8 at the 69

Los Angeles Rams 7 – Minnesota Vikings 7

(5:24) 6-J.Hekker punts 40 yards to MIN 29, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.61 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +1.98 EP
62% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 69, worth -3.81 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model