Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 6 at the 68

Dallas Cowboys 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 0

(9:02) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 38 yards to LAC 30, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.26 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +2.19 EP
58% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 68, worth -3.77 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model