Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 6 at the 68

Minnesota Vikings 13 – Detroit Lions 0

(:57) 4-R.Quigley punts 51 yards to DET 17, Center-47-K.McDermott, fair catch by 13-T.Jones.

The Three Options

GO -1.56 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.74 EP
58% chance to fail: Detroit Lions takes over around their own 68, worth -4.00 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model