Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 13 at the 93

Seattle Seahawks 3 – Philadelphia Eagles 0

(4:31) 9-J.Ryan punts 39 yards to SEA 46, Center-69-T.Ott, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.44 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +1.02 EP
69% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 93, worth -5.46 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (110 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model