Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 10 at the 75

Los Angeles Rams 35 – Philadelphia Eagles 37

(2:10) 6-J.Hekker punts 57 yards to PHI 18, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 38-K.Barner to PHI 21 for 3 yards (24-B.Countess).

The Three Options

GO -2.05 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.26 EP
67% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 75, worth -3.68 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model