Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 15 at the 92

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Los Angeles Rams 13

(10:31) 9-J.Ryan punts 54 yards to LA 38, Center-69-T.Ott. 10-P.Cooper pushed ob at SEA 36 for 26 yards (81-N.Vannett).

The Three Options

GO -3.30 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 77, worth +1.28 EP
70% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 92, worth -5.29 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (109 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model