Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 18 at the 74

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Los Angeles Rams 40

(5:39) 9-J.Ryan punts 61 yards to LA 13, Center-69-T.Ott. 10-P.Cooper to LA 22 for 9 yards (30-B.McDougald; 58-D.Alexander).

The Three Options

GO -2.57 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.35 EP
74% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 74, worth -4.29 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model