Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 11 at the 91

Seattle Seahawks 7 – Los Angeles Rams 40

(12:50) 9-J.Ryan punts 55 yards to LA 36, Center-69-T.Ott. 10-P.Cooper pushed ob at LA 40 for 4 yards (69-T.Ott).

The Three Options

GO -3.04 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +1.01 EP
65% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 91, worth -5.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model