Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 65

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – New England Patriots 0

(12:18) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 42 yards to NE 23, Center-57-K.Canaday, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.12 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +2.74 EP
61% chance to fail: New England Patriots takes over around their own 65, worth -3.56 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model