Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Tennessee Titans 4th & 16 at the 67

Tennessee Titans 23 – Los Angeles Rams 27

(10:21) (Punt formation) 6-B.Kern punts 62 yards to LA 5, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 10-P.Cooper to LA 8 for 3 yards (32-D.Fluellen; 33-T.Smith).

The Three Options

GO -1.93 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.70 EP
75% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 67, worth -3.48 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model