Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 18 at the 69

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Dallas Cowboys 3

(11:22) (Punt formation) 9-J.Ryan punts 42 yards to DAL 27, Center-69-T.Ott. 10-R.Switzer to DAL 37 for 10 yards (20-J.Lane).

The Three Options

GO -2.38 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.38 EP
74% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 69, worth -4.03 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model