Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 8 at the 73

Dallas Cowboys 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(14:17) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 51 yards to SEA 22, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 16-T.Lockett to SEA 31 for 9 yards (38-J.Heath).

The Three Options

GO -1.70 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.30 EP
62% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 73, worth -4.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model