Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 9 at the 67

Philadelphia Eagles 0 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(9:17) 8-D.Jones punts 55 yards to DAL 12, Center-45-R.Lovato, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.43 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.36 EP
63% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 67, worth -3.69 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model