Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New Orleans Saints 4th & 6 at the 71

New Orleans Saints 0 – Carolina Panthers 0

(13:13) 6-T.Morstead punts 44 yards to CAR 27, Center-49-Z.Wood, fair catch by 22-C.McCaffrey.

The Three Options

GO -1.16 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.27 EP
55% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 71, worth -3.93 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model