Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 10 at the 60

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Arizona Cardinals 0

(11:33) 6-J.Hekker punts 60 yards to end zone, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.12 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +3.15 EP
68% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 60, worth -3.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model