Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 62

Dallas Cowboys 10 – New York Giants 0

(2:58) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 48 yards to NYG 14, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 15-K.Clay to NYG 20 for 6 yards (49-J.Olawale).

The Three Options

GO -1.50 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.56 EP
69% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 62, worth -3.34 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model